Vanderbilt
W-L: ( 8- 9) PR = 85.1884Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 207 A Clemson ACC (15- 6, 94.7) 5-20 212 H Mercer Big South (13- 7, 85.5) 14-11 216 H Stanford ACC (17- 5, 95.9) 6-18 222 H Denver Big East (16- 4, 93.8) 9-17 227 H Cincinnati Big 12 ( 9- 8, 83.0) 22-10 304 H Eastern Michigan MAC (10- 7, 79.5) 11- 8 307 A Ohio State Big Ten ( 9- 8, 90.1) 4-16 311 H Coastal Carolina Atlantic Su (10- 8, 81.1) 7- 8 314 A Xavier Big East ( 2-14, 77.0) 15- 2 321 A Old Dominion AAC ( 5-12, 76.2) 17- 2 325 A Louisville ACC ( 6- 9, 85.9) 4- 5 328 H UNC-Charlotte AAC ( 6- 9, 78.9) 16- 7 404 H East Carolina AAC ( 8- 9, 83.5) 15-13 408 H Lindenwood Atlantic Su ( 8-11, 77.1) 17- 7 411 A Temple AAC (12- 5, 86.5) 4-10 418 A James Madison AAC (14- 7, 90.9) 9-14 425 H South Florida AAC (12- 5, 88.7) 9-12
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
207 A Clemson 5-20 -15 -11 - -3.08
212 H Mercer 14-11 3 1 1.93
216 H Stanford 6-18 -12 -9 - -2.64
222 H Denver 9-17 -8 -7 -0.77
227 H Cincinnati 22-10 12 4 +++ 8.41
304 H Eastern Michigan 11- 8 3 7 -- -4.05
307 A Ohio State 4-16 -12 -6 -- -5.72
311 H Coastal Carolina 7- 8 -1 5 --- -6.41
314 A Xavier 15- 2 13 7 +++ 6.16
321 A Old Dominion 17- 2 15 8 +++ 6.34
325 A Louisville 4- 5 -1 -2 1.11
328 H UNC-Charlotte 16- 7 9 8 1.32
404 H East Carolina 15-13 2 3 -1.02
408 H Lindenwood 17- 7 10 9 0.57
411 A Temple 4-10 -6 -3 - -3.34
418 A James Madison 9-14 -5 -7 + 2.04
425 H South Florida 9-12 -3 -2 -0.85
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 311 H Coastal Carolina 7- 8 -1 5 --- -6.41 304 H Eastern Michigan 11- 8 3 7 -- -4.05 307 A Ohio State 4-16 -12 -6 -- -5.72 207 A Clemson 5-20 -15 -11 - -3.08 216 H Stanford 6-18 -12 -9 - -2.64 411 A Temple 4-10 -6 -3 - -3.34 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 227 H Cincinnati 22-10 12 4 +++ 8.41 314 A Xavier 15- 2 13 7 +++ 6.16 321 A Old Dominion 17- 2 15 8 +++ 6.34 418 A James Madison 9-14 -5 -7 + 2.04 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 17.32
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Clemson (15- 6, 94.7) 5-20 -5.16 35.01 1.37 1.02 -1.93
3 H Mercer (13- 7, 85.5) 14-11 -14.42 25.75 -1.37 1.02 49.69
3 H Stanford (17- 5, 95.9) 6-18 -3.98 36.19 -1.37 1.02 -2.73
3 H Denver (16- 4, 93.8) 9-17 -6.12 34.05 -1.37 1.02 -3.81
3 H Cincinnati ( 9- 8, 83.0) 22-10 -16.93 23.23 -1.37 1.02 44.56
3 H Eastern Michig (10- 7, 79.5) 11- 8 -20.39 19.78 -1.37 1.02 37.52
3 A Ohio State ( 9- 8, 90.1) 4-16 -9.80 30.36 1.37 1.02 -4.30
3 H Coastal Caroli (10- 8, 81.1) 7- 8 -18.76 21.41 -1.37 1.02 -10.25
3 A Xavier ( 2-14, 77.0) 15- 2 -22.92 17.25 1.37 1.02 37.94
3 A Old Dominion ( 5-12, 76.2) 17- 2 -23.74 16.43 1.37 1.02 36.27
3 A Louisville ( 6- 9, 85.9) 4- 5 -13.96 26.20 1.37 1.02 -6.42
3 H UNC-Charlotte ( 6- 9, 78.9) 16- 7 -21.02 19.15 -1.37 1.02 36.24
3 H East Carolina ( 8- 9, 83.5) 15-13 -16.36 23.80 -1.37 1.02 45.72
3 H Lindenwood ( 8-11, 77.1) 17- 7 -22.77 17.40 -1.37 1.02 32.66
3 A Temple (12- 5, 86.5) 4-10 -13.42 26.75 1.37 1.02 -6.14
3 A James Madison (14- 7, 90.9) 9-14 -9.04 31.13 1.37 1.02 -3.91
3 H South Florida (12- 5, 88.7) 9-12 -11.20 28.97 -1.37 1.02 -6.40
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274.72
|
winning pts = 320.6088 losing points = -45.8904
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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